Economics News

Upcoming Economics Events

Events in the School of Economics and Finance

Upcoming Economics Seminars

The School's seminar series is currently organised by Francesca Cornaglia (applied microeconomics), Marcelo Fernandes (econometrics and finance), Winfried Koeniger (macroeconomics), and Christopher Tyson (microeconomic theory).

All seminars are in room W316A unless otherwise specified.

Upcoming Econometrics Reading Groups

The reading group meetings are intended as informal gatherings where we may discuss our own work in progress, sections of textbooks and monographs, published articles, work in progress or research proposals of our PhD students, or papers of visiting or invited colleagues. Meetings take place on Tuesdays from 1 to 2pm in Room W316 unless otherwise stated. For further information, please contact Emmanuel Guerre or Stepana Lazarova.

Upcoming Economics Reading Groups

The Economics reading group meetings are intended as informal gatherings where we may discuss our own work in progress, research proposals, sections of textbooks and monographs, published articles, or papers of visiting or invited colleagues. These meetings are complementary to the Econometrics reading group events and cover any economics topics whose focus is not econometrics. Meetings take place on Thursdays from 1 to 2pm in Room W316, unless otherwise stated. For further information, please contact Andriy Zapechelnyuk.

Recent working papers

Adaptive Forecasting in the Presence of Recent and Ongoing Structural Change (2012)

We consider time series forecasting in the presence of ongoing structural change where both the time series dependence and the nature of the structural change are unknown. Methods that downweight older data, such as rolling regressions, forecast averaging over different windows and exponentially weighted moving averages, known to be robust to historical structural change, are found to be also useful in the presence of ongoing structural change in the forecast period. A crucial issue is how to select the degree of downweighting, usually defined by an arbitrary tuning parameter. We make this choice data dependent by minimizing forecast mean square error, and provide a detailed theoretical analysis of our proposal. Monte Carlo results illustrate the methods. We examine their performance on 191 UK and US macro series. Forecasts using data-based tuning of the data discount rate are shown to perform well.

Fuzzy Rejective Core of Satiated Economies with Unbounded Consumption Sets (2012)

For an exchange economy, under assumptions which did not bring about the existence of equilibrium with dividends as yet, we prove the non-emptiness of the fuzzy rejective core. Then, via Konovalov (1998, 2005)'s equivalence result, we solve the equilibrium with dividends existence problem. Adding to the same assumptions a weak non-satiation condition which differs from the weak non-satiation assumption introduced by Allouch-Le Van (2009), we show in a last section the existence of a Walrasian quasiequilibrium. This result, which fits with exchange economies whose consumers' utility functions are not assumed to be upper semicontinuous, complements the one obtained by Martins-da-Rocha and Monteiro (2009).

93% of students were satisfied with the quality of their learning experience at Queen Mary

	Economics Schools in London	% Student Satisfaction
1	UNIVERSITY OF GREENWICH	96%
2	QUEEN MARY, UNIVERSITY OF LONDON	93%
3	SCHOOL OF ORIENTAL AND AFRICAN STUDIES	85%
3	BRUNEL UNIVERSITY	85%
5	LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS	84%
5	UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON	84%
7	LONDON METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY	81%
7	ROYAL HOLLOWAY, UNIVERSITY OF LONDON	81%
9	UNIVERSITY OF EAST LONDON	80%
10	MIDDLESEX UNIVERSITY	74%
11	CITY UNIVERSITY	68%

Year 1 Undergraduate course reps 2010-11

Year 1	Year 2	Year 3
Shaneel Parekh s.parekh@hss11.qmul.ac.uk	Tania Kumar t.kumar@hss10.qmul.ac.uk	Niki-Maria Foteinopoulou te09074@qmul.ac.uk
Saleh Rahman s.a.rahman@hss11.qmul.ac.uk	Yumna Rizwan y.rizwan@hss10.qmul.ac.uk	Ashfaq Ahmed te09107@qmul.ac.uk

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The Financial Times and The Economist are available in the Economics reception. Please do not remove the current edition. Only the old editions in the boxes may be removed.

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